NEJM original articles

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December 18, 2025 Vol. 393 No. 24

ctDNA-Guided Adjuvant Atezolizumab in Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Powles T et al. Editorial ctDNA-Guided Therapy in Bladder Cancer - Ready? saved

Background. Patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer have varied outcomes after cystectomy. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-based detection of molecular residual disease may identify patients at high risk for recurrence after cystectomy who can benefit from adjuvant immunotherapy, thus sparing patients at lower risk from unnecessary treatment burden.

Methods. In a phase 3, double-blind, randomized trial, we used serial ctDNA testing to monitor (for up to 1 year) patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer and no radiographic evidence of disease after surgery. Eligible patients who tested ctDNA-positive during surveillance were randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio to receive intravenous atezolizumab or placebo every 4 weeks for up to 1 year. The primary end point was investigator-assessed disease-free survival. Overall survival was a secondary end point that was assessed in a hierarchical fashion to control for alpha. Patients who persistently tested ctDNA-negative did not receive atezolizumab or placebo.

Results. A total of 761 patients were enrolled; 250 eligible patients who tested ctDNA-positive underwent randomization (167 to the atezolizumab group and 83 to the placebo group). The median disease-free survival was 9.9 months with atezolizumab, as compared with 4.8 months with placebo (hazard ratio for first event of disease recurrence or death, 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47 to 0.87; P = 0.005). The median overall survival was 32.8 months with atezolizumab, as compared with 21.1 months with placebo (hazard ratio for death, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.90; P = 0.01). A total of 28% of the patients who received atezolizumab and 22% of those who received placebo had adverse events of grade 3 or 4 (related to atezolizumab or placebo in 7% vs. 4%); 3% and 2% of the patients, respectively, had fatal adverse events (related to atezolizumab or placebo in 2% vs. none). Among 357 patients with persistent ctDNA-negative status, disease-free survival was 95% at the end of the 1-year monitoring period and 88% at 2 years.

Conclusions. Among patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, ctDNA-guided adjuvant therapy with atezolizumab led to significantly longer disease-free survival and overall survival than placebo. (Funded by F. Hoffmann-La Roche; IMvigor011 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04660344.).

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Cardiovascular Outcomes with Tirzepatide versus Dulaglutide in Type 2 Diabetes Nicholls SJ et al. saved

Background. Tirzepatide, a dual incretin agonist of the glucagon-like peptide-1 and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide receptors, has favorable effects on glycemic control and body weight. The effects on cardiovascular outcomes are uncertain.

Methods. We conducted an active-comparator-controlled, double-blind, noninferiority trial in which patients with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive a weekly subcutaneous injection of tirzepatide (up to 15 mg) or dulaglutide (1.5 mg), an agent that has been shown to reduce the incidence of cardiovascular events. The primary end point was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, myocardial infarction, or stroke and was tested for noninferiority of tirzepatide to dulaglutide with a margin of 1.05 for the upper limit of the 95.3% confidence interval for the hazard ratio. An upper limit of less than 1.00 was considered to indicate superiority of tirzepatide to dulaglutide.

Results. A total of 13,299 patients underwent randomization; 134 were subsequently excluded because they did not meet inclusion criteria. The modified intention-to-treat population thus included 6586 patients in the tirzepatide group and 6579 in the dulaglutide group. The mean (±SD) age of the patients was 64.1±8.8 years, 29.0% were women, the mean body-mass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) was 32.6±5.5, the mean glycated hemoglobin level was 8.4±0.9%, and the mean duration of diabetes was 14.7±8.8 years. A primary end-point event occurred in 801 patients (12.2%) in the tirzepatide group and 862 (13.1%) in the dulaglutide group (hazard ratio, 0.92; 95.3% confidence interval, 0.83 to 1.01; P = 0.003 for noninferiority; P = 0.09 for superiority). The incidence of adverse events appeared to be similar in the two groups, although more gastrointestinal adverse events were observed in the tirzepatide group.

Conclusions. Among patients with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, tirzepatide was noninferior to dulaglutide with respect to a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, myocardial infarction, or stroke. (Funded by Eli Lilly; SURPASS-CVOT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04255433.).

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Noninferiority of One HPV Vaccine Dose to Two Doses Kreimer AR et al. Editorial Evidence to Action - Single-Dose HPV Vaccination and Cervical HPV Infection saved

Background. Multidose human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is efficacious, yet the vaccine has been underused globally. Emerging data suggest that a single dose may provide protection. Whether a single dose of HPV vaccine would provide similar protection to two doses is uncertain.

Methods. In this trial, we assessed whether one dose of an HPV vaccine was noninferior to two doses. Girls 12 to 16 years of age were randomly assigned, in a 1:1:1:1 ratio, to receive one or two doses of a bivalent HPV vaccine or one or two doses of a nonavalent HPV vaccine. The primary end point was new HPV type 16 or 18 infection occurring from month 12 to month 60 and persisting for at least 6 months. The prespecified noninferiority margin was 1.25 infections per 100 participants. We also assessed vaccine effectiveness by comparing HPV16 or HPV18 infection among the trial participants with that among girls and women enrolled in a nonrandomized survey.

Results. A total of 20,330 participants were enrolled and underwent randomization, and 3005 unvaccinated participants were enrolled in the survey. The noninferiority analysis showed that one vaccine dose was noninferior to two doses in preventing HPV16 or HPV18 infection. The rate difference between one and two doses of the bivalent vaccine was -0.13 infections per 100 participants (95% confidence interval [CI], -0.45 to 0.15; P<0.001 for noninferiority), and the difference between one and two doses of the nonavalent vaccine was 0.21 infections per 100 participants (95% CI, -0.09 to 0.51; P<0.001 for noninferiority). The vaccine effectiveness was at least 97% in each of the four trial groups. No safety concerns were identified.

Conclusions. One dose of either a bivalent or nonavalent HPV vaccine provided protection against HPV16 or HPV18 infection and was not inferior to two doses. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute and others; ESCUDDO ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03180034.).

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Trial of High-Dose Oral Rifampin in Adults with Tuberculous Meningitis Meya DB et al. saved

Background. Tuberculous meningitis is often lethal, and many survivors have disabilities despite antimicrobial treatment and adjunctive glucocorticoid therapy. Standard-dose rifampin has limited central nervous system penetration. Whether high-dose rifampin could improve survival outcomes is unknown.

Methods. We performed a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial involving adults with tuberculous meningitis in Indonesia, South Africa, and Uganda. We assigned persons with and those without human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) coinfection to receive standard daily isoniazid, rifampin (at a dose of 10 mg per kilogram of body weight), ethambutol, and pyrazinamide plus either additional rifampin (for a cumulative dose of 35 mg per kilogram; high-dose group) or matched placebo (standard-dose group) for 8 weeks; participants in both groups received standard therapy for the remainder of the 9-to-12-month treatment course. The primary outcome was 6-month mortality.

Results. A total of 499 participants were included in the intention-to-treat population (249 randomly assigned to the high-dose group and 250 to the standard-dose group), of whom 304 (60.9%) were persons living with HIV and 428 (85.8%) had definite or probable tuberculous meningitis. During 6 months of follow-up, 109 participants (Kaplan-Meier estimate, 44.6%) in the high-dose group and 100 participants (Kaplan-Meier estimate, 40.7%) in the standard-dose group died (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 0.89 to 1.54; P = 0.25). Among the participants who died within 6 months, the median time to death was 13 days (interquartile range, 4 to 39) in the high-dose group and 24 days (interquartile range, 6 to 56) in the standard-dose group. Drug-induced liver injury occurred in 8.0% of the participants in the high-dose group and in 4.4% of those in the standard-dose group, but no deaths from drug-induced liver injury occurred.

Conclusions. Among persons with tuberculous meningitis, no evidence of beneficial effect from high-dose rifampin was observed, and the potential for a harmful effect cannot be ruled out. (Funded by the U.K. Medical Research Council and others; ISRCTN Registry number, ISRCTN15668391.).

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